The trade wars are coming to Walmart near you, or are they? Another example of the Art of the Deal. There will never be a trade war. This is just pure posturing. So be merry and buy some electronics, everything will be fine. Remember the cycles create the news, not the opposite. When in doubt, count your Bitcoin, or what's left of it anyway. The only thing to fear is bankruptcy, and even that isn't so terrible. 

Direct download: John_Rubino_09.Apr.18.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:41pm EST

Ten years after the start of the financial crisis that erased $16.4 trillion in assets from U.S. households, Americans have yet to embrace the U.S. stock market with the same fervor as before, holding fewer individual stocks and putting less money into equities overall despite an uninterrupted 9-year bull market that has pushed the S&P 500 up nearly 310 percent from its 2009 lows.

Overall, U.S. households have $900 billion less invested in stocks than in 2007, according to Goldman Sachs research, leaving buying by U.S. corporations now the greatest driver of demand. In 401(k) retirement plans, meanwhile, investors now hold an average of 52.4 percent in equity-only funds, down from the 64.7 percent they held in 2007, according to Fidelity.

Instead, investors now hold an average of 33.2 percent of their assets in blended target-date funds that combine stocks, bonds and cash based on a person's expected retirement date, more than double the 14.5 percent of assets invested in the category in 2007.

The decline in the assets invested in stocks comes even as investors have largely benefited from the recovery in equity prices. The average 401(k) balance at the end of 2017 was  $104,300, up 112 percent from the average of $49,000 at the end of 2008 and up 54 percent from the pre-crisis average of $67,600 at the end of 2007, according to Fidelity.

"There just doesn't seem to be the same level of interest or animal spirits" among investors now for equities, said Mark Paccione, director of investment research at Raleigh, North Carolina-based Captrust Financial Advisors, which oversees $250 billion in assets.

Clients are much more concerned about the effect of rising interest rates and inflation on their bond portfolios, he said.

"They're very worried we will have a bear market in bonds and direct almost all of their focus there," he said.

Direct download: Dee_Carter_09.Apr.18.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:04pm EST

The trade spat between the world's two largest economies worsened over the weekend with China hiking tariffs on a slew of U.S. goods in response to Washington slapping duties on Chinese aluminum and steel. The measures announced Sunday matched a list of potential tariffs on up to $3 billion in U.S. goods published by China on March 23. And it keeps on going. Where will it end?

Direct download: Harlan_Ullman_09.Apr.18.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 12:02pm EST

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