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Kerry Lutz's--Financial Survival Network

Aug 2, 2022

When is a recession not a recession? This seems to be our current positions as people try to redefine what a recession is, and John Rubino discusses this with me in this episode. A recession has always been two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth—which we’ve been seeing. The government is reluctant to call our current circumstance a recession, and people are being accused of spreading misinformation. Deeper analyses show that we are not where the government says we are economically, and we must consider many pieces of data to assess our current situation. Tune in to hear more of John’s perspective.

-We’re getting serious negative indicators right now that will contribute to a decline in growth
-Inflation can be used to mask what is happening, and growth has been slower than what they are reporting
-There is a problem with how we’ve traditionally defined recession with how we’ve calculated GDP
-It’s important to look at GDP - government debt to see what’s actually happening
-A depression is a much more realistic assessment of where we are
-A lot of charts show that we have not been a growing economy for decades
-The war could potentially be a tool for distraction
-Interest rates are not spiking in Europe; the bond market is calling a recession
-Everyone is piling into what they see as the most risk free asset: treasury bonds
-Commodity prices spiked six months ago and have been trending downward ever since
-Home prices haven’t done what we would expect—especially in California

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