Tue, 1 August 2023
PMI Report (Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector Past few months we have seen the numbers in line or under expectations Everyone is Bullish and it is scary! Morgan Stanley strategist Mike Wilson finally capitulated and apologized for getting the market wrong the last nine months. (He is a huge bear mkt guy) from 3500-4400 When the Street’s most bearish strategist turns bullish, does that mean the market is due for a correction? YES! Time to get short. Last year people were adding on to TBill positions. Between strategists apologizing and people YOLOing into tech stocks, I think it’s time to book whatever gains we have and move to the sidelines. Lets put a baseline correction of 10-12% And it could get worse. All I know is that all the conditions are in place for a correction of some magnitude. And it will take a lot of people by surprise, as these things usually do. Word of advice: sell when you can, not when you have to. We can talk about how interest rates are over 5%, how there is a war in Europe, how there is the persistent threat of inflation, how richly valued the stock market is—none of it matters. These are the sorts of things that people like us talk about on media shows. People may hear us, but are they listening? You want to know where the market is going? Don’t follow the smart money; follow the dumb money. – I use that term loosely, because the pain will be real.
Inflation is 3% The tomb is sealed, and we don’t even realize it yet. Bottoms are made on panic. Tops are made on euphoria. In October, we were fearing hyperinflation. Now there is open discussion about deflation. The truth is always somewhere in between. We went from believing that inflation was undefeated to defeated in nine months. Over that time, the stock market has rallied over 20%. There is a lot of complacency out there. It’s the summer, people are having a good time, and they don’t see the need to hedge. People aren’t doing a lot of thinking about how to insure against a downturn. Mind you, I’m not talking about a crash—I would never call for a crash—I’m just saying that a sharp correction is highly likely, and it is going to catch a lot of people offside. Visit James at: PooleLocke.com Visit FSN at: FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Mon, 31 July 2023
1. Consumer spending roller coaster continues
2. Out with the old...legacy categories and consumer loyalty are declining, as consumers become more price sensitive
3. In with the new...consumers are willing to spend, but on 'new and different' experiences
4. While interest rates remain high, consumers...especially younger ones...will hold off on bigger ticket purchases in lieu of smaller, immediate and different experiences
Twitter feed: @eddiewouldgrow Email: eddie@eddiewouldgrow.com Eddie's site: https://EddieWouldGrow.com Our site: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Fri, 28 July 2023
Kerry Lutz and Ed Siddell discussed the current state of the economy and the possibility of a recession. They analyzed the strength of the economy and potential risks such as the commercial real estate meltdown and the banking crisis. They also discussed the impact of debt and credit on the market and the changing credit market. The conversation highlighted the uncertainty and complexity of the current economic landscape and the challenges facing investors and businesses. Additionally, they discussed the state of cities in the US, migration trends, and the importance of personal safety in people's decision to migrate. They also talked about the lack of safety in cities and the need for people to feel safe and be able to raise a family without fear. They concluded by emphasizing the need for fixing the system and getting the right people in office to do so.
Find Us Here: FSN |
Wed, 26 July 2023
Kerry Lutz and Taylor Loht discussed the benefits of investing in real estate over stocks and bonds. They highlighted the importance of cash flow and an abundance mindset for success in real estate, as well as the challenges of dealing with misbehavior in the industry. They also emphasized the importance of networking and building relationships to find deals in the commercial real estate space. Taylor shared his successful investment strategy of investing in scarce assets with high demand, such as self-storage properties, and discussed the potential of investing in mobile home parks. Kerry and Taylor delved into the details of investing in self-storage properties, discussing the demand drivers and risks involved. They emphasized the importance of market analysis and careful consideration of risks, as well as the obstacles involved in getting approvals from municipalities. They also highlighted the benefits of investing in self-storage properties, including the low management required and diverse demand base. The conversation ended with Taylor explaining his passive wealth strategy and the importance of seeking knowledge from those who know more. Overall, the meeting provided valuable insights into the mindset and strategies required for success in real estate investing. Visit Taylor at: https://www.passivewealthstrategy.com/ Visit us at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Mon, 24 July 2023
Jim Welsh provided a detailed analysis of the current state of inflation, predicting that it will continue to rise due to the reversal of energy prices and food prices. He also discussed the impact of higher interest rates on unemployment numbers and predicted that a recession is likely in the near future based on historical indicators such as the yield curve inversion and the increase in lending standards. Kerry Lutz and Jim Welsh discussed the shift in market sentiment from anticipating a recession to believing that it is no longer a concern, and how this may actually increase the likelihood of a recession. They provided a comprehensive overview of the economic factors at play and the potential consequences for investors and the economy as a whole. Welsh also provided market analysis on gold, the S&P 500, and lending standards, and suggested caution in light of current prices. Visit Jim's site: macrotides.com Visit us at: FSN |
Fri, 21 July 2023
Lobo Tiggre joined Kerry Lutz to discuss the state of the economy and inflation, with Lobo providing a nuanced analysis of the factors contributing to the weakness of the US and global economies. They also discussed the strength of the demand for gold despite headwinds like higher rates and Fed tightening. Lobo provided a market analysis of gold and silver, predicting a potential near-term pullback in the gold market and advising caution. They also discussed the potential impact of a liquidity event on the metals market and the unpredictability of market crashes. Additionally, they discussed the Fed's response to the banking crisis and how it was a major emergency response that bailed everyone out without explicitly bailing them out. They expressed concerns about the insolvency of major real estate companies in China and the potential for a hard landing in China's economy, which could impact the global economy. Visit Lobo at https://independentspeculator.com Visit us at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Fri, 21 July 2023
We sat down with Prospera Energy’s (🇺🇸GXRFF -- 🇨🇦PEI) CEO Samuel David and VP of Subsurface -- George Magarian for an update. Prospera is one of our largest holdings. Of primary importance is the company’s 18 well drill program, consisting of 8 slanted/vertical wells and 10 horizontal wells. All the pieces are in place to commence its Phase 2 drill program, which will start by August 15 and will commence rapidly. VP Magarian has put in over 36 years as a petroleum geologist and is an expert in Western Canada geology. He’s worked for many major producers. He has high expectations for the program. The new wells are in existing fields so risk is extremely low. He expects and 80 to 90 percent success rate. In his opinion, these wells will produce at least 60-100 barrels per day. He expects the resulting increased production in Q3. This added to August’s 1250 BOE will substantially increase production and cash flow. For 2022 the company reported record cash flow of C$5.4 and upon completion of its Phase 2 program 2023 could go much higher. It has upped its working capital and cash position so it can easily finance increased production. The company has also been helped by $75 oil. Finally, CEO David discussed the company’s anticipated acquisition. It is in active talks to take over an existing field and is negotiating the exact scope of acquired assets and liabilities. Prospera expects to news flow to increase substantially as its drill program ramps up and results start coming in. We are very optimistic about its future. Company website: https://ProsperaEnergy.com |
Thu, 20 July 2023
John Grace discusses the economic history of Japan and advises investors to be prepared for the good, the bad, and the unforeseen, and to consider diversifying their assets. He also discusses the potential impact of demographic changes on the real estate market and provides advice for investors, including selling excess real estate and looking at investment opportunities in warehouses, medical properties, and infrastructure. Kerry Lutz and John Grace also discuss the benefits and drawbacks of immigration for the US economy, with Grace arguing that immigration is a net gain and Lutz emphasizing the need for controlled and regulated immigration. Finally, they explore investment strategies and opportunities in the face of technological advancements and economic uncertainty, with Grace emphasizing the importance of active management and diversification in investment portfolios. Visit John at: https://www.westlakefinancialadvisors.com/ Visit us at https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Wed, 19 July 2023
Kerry Lutz and Carl Gould discussed various topics. They talked about the differences between Threads and Twitter, with Threads being more of a private communication tool, while Twitter is more like a public radio channel. They also discussed Elon Musk's X, which could potentially leapfrog all other players in the market. Additionally, they talked about the trends in the business environment post-COVID, including the reindustrialization of the United States and the move towards design and distribution. They also discussed the challenges faced by the electrification trend, such as the lack of electricity to power the cars and the emissions to manufacture them. The government is investing trillions of dollars in subsidies and incentives, but eventually, the industries will have to stand on their own. The risks involved in these ventures often get overshadowed, and entrepreneurs and businesses are needed to take the risks to find these things and nurture these businesses. Find Carl at carl360.com Visit us at FSN
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Tue, 18 July 2023
Kerry Lutz and Kris Miller discussed the benefits of investing in index universal life insurance to create tax-free income for life. Miller explained that this strategy is a safe way to ensure that you never outlive your income and that it provides peace of mind. She also emphasized the importance of getting your cash safe and setting up streams of income, and explained that there are creative ways to fund these investments over five to ten years. However, Miller also noted that this strategy is not a one-size-fits-all solution and that it depends on factors such as age, health, and financial goals. Additionally, she discussed the importance of paying attention to economic shifts and learning about new financial strategies. Visit Kris at: https://MeetWithKrisMiller.com Visit us at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Mon, 17 July 2023
During this Financial Survival Network segment, Kerry Lutz interviewed David Wright about the recent CPI report and its implications for the economy. Wright expressed caution and bearishness, citing the sticky inflation rate and the upcoming challenges for small businesses. They also discussed the impact of AI on the economy and the potential for job displacement, with both expressing concerns about the long-term implications of AI. David advised investors to create income streams from investments, rely on high dividend-paying stocks, and find companies that can sustain income dividends of 5% to 7%. He suggested investing in consumer staples and comfort stocks and avoiding AI stocks that don't pay much in dividends. The conversation also touched on the upcoming PPI number, with David stating that it will be lower than the previous month due to prices coming down. They discussed the cost of goods, with Kerry mentioning the cost of Thanksgiving dinner and 4th of July barbecue as two indexes she pays attention to. David expressed concern about the disparity between the country's gross domestic product and national deficit, and the potential effects of a hike in interest rates. They also discussed defensive sectors, such as healthcare and consumer staples, and the impact of the current administration's healthcare policies on the market. Finally, they discussed the potential impact of the 2024 election cycle on the markets and the ongoing banking crisis, highlighting the challenges faced by regional banks, including the squeeze on net interest margins. Despite the uncertainty and volatility in the markets, both speakers emphasized the importance of experience and perspective in navigating these challenges. They also discussed the exorbitant cost of prescription drugs in the US and the potential benefits of negotiating drug prices with Medicare. David offered to help Kerry make a list of his prescription meds to explore the possibility of lowering their cost. Visit David's site at: https://wrightfinancialgroup.com/ Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Fri, 14 July 2023
Chris Vermeulen and Kerry Lutz discussed the recent surge in precious metals and miners, with Technical Trader Ltd. attributing it to a potential bottom and bounce in the market. They also discussed the possibility of a gold-backed currency and its potential impact on investors, with Technical Trader Ltd. suggesting that it could make gold a more serious asset. However, Kerry Lutz expressed reservations about a gold-backed currency and its potential impact on international trade. Chris also provided insights into the current state of the stock market, real estate market, inflation, and energy prices, advising investors to be cautious and protect their assets, as he predicts a potential correction in the stock market and real estate market, and a drop in crude oil prices. He emphasized the importance of following price trends and not investing based on news or fundamentals, and noted the potential danger of the current market, advising investors to be defensive with their positions. Visit Chris at: TheTechnicalTraders.com Visit us at: FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Thu, 13 July 2023
We sat down with a new show sponsor, Correlate Energy’s CEO Todd Michaels (OTC: CIPI). He explains that fortunes are made and lost when major energy transitions take place. Today we are in the first inning of a major transition away from centralized electricity generation to decentralized production. As CEO Michaels stated, “Just like the smartphone changed the way we all work and communicate, decentralized energy will have a similar profound effect.” As the electrification transition rapidly moves forward, traditional carbon-based energy sources alone cannot provide the extra needed giga-watts. However, multi-trillion-dollar government incentives are locked in place and there’s no going back. Solar, wind and increasingly microgrids will lead the way. Correlate is uniquely situated to capitalize upon the resulting opportunities. In it’s case, their seasoned team has decades of experience in the renewable energy marketplace. They provide customers with a one-stop solution including: financing, planning, permitting, construction and operational management. The company just announced an initial $100 million joint venture with eDGe Renewable Partners which will dramatically increase micro-grid development and construction, nationwide. The strategy appears to be working as the company became cashflow positive in May and expects revenues of $25-35mm in 2023 and $45-60mm in 2024 while achieving 18-25% margins. CEO Michaels states, “You can see the [revenue growth] directionality as our projects are now coming to fulfillment.” He makes a compelling case as few businesses can resist the ability to lock in and reduce their electric bills for the next 20-30 years. Decentralized Energy has arrived and promises to be the hottest and most profitable energy sector for the next several decades. Correlate offers a low-cost, low-risk way to profit from this inexorable trend. Company website: https://Correlate.Energy |
Thu, 13 July 2023
Financial expert David Stryzewski discussed the current state of the economy and investment strategies with Kerry Lutz. Stryzewski predicted a slowing economy and advised caution when investing in bonds, instead suggesting growth-oriented fixed index annuities as a protected asset. He also emphasized the importance of tax planning for retirees and pre-retirees, and suggested taking advantage of the tax cuts and jobs act. Stryzewski's approach to financial planning focuses on helping families create tax-optimal income plans for the rest of their lives. Visit David at: https://myspg.com Visit us at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Wed, 12 July 2023
Mark Twain once said, It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that This is especially true when it comes to your closely held beliefs. We all have long held false beliefs that have done nothing but sabotage your life. Things like "I'm not good enough, I'm not smart, I can't succeed, People disappoint me, etc." Shelly Lefkoe has worked with thousands of people, helping them to expose of and dispose of their false beliefs and she would love to help you do the same. She gives concrete examples and real life cases where her system has changed lives. I recounted my 3rd grade teacher who made me feel inferior and dump. These beliefs stuck with me for many years. It wasn't until I realized that I was a fast learner capable of success that I overcame my personal history. Anyone can dispose of their false beliefs using her system. Go to https://eliminatebeliefs.com and start working with Shelly today. Visit us at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Tue, 11 July 2023
Kerry Lutz and Paul Otter discussed the Supreme Court's decision to strike down the current administration's plan to forgive student loan debt. They highlighted the potential impact on borrowers and the economy, including missed payments, higher credit card debt, and a decrease in credit scores. The need for Congress to revisit the student loan scheme and hold universities accountable for their role in creating the problem was also discussed. Both Kerry and Paul agreed that canceling the debt is not the solution and that Congress needs to find a way to solve the problem without causing pain elsewhere. They emphasized the importance of borrowers being proactive and having a plan in place to deal with their student loan debt. Go to Paul's site: https://BetterCredit.com Visit FSN: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Mon, 10 July 2023
Blow-out jobs report means interest rates have to rise. 10-year Treasury broke 4% this morning.
In the past two bubbles interest rates rose along with stocks until the markets broke. We're repeating that pattern.
The Big Toy indicator is flashing: RV and Rolex sales down. Commodities getting whacked. Are we in a bear market? France is burning. A sign of the future? Quality of life in our major cities is rapidly declining The Supreme Court is issuing some big rulings. What does that mean? -- Affirmative action -- Web design/bakery "compelled speech" -- Student debt (separation of powers) goes back to baby boomers, when college was cheap https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/22pdf/22-506_nmip.pdf -- Louisiana court banned gov't social media censorship https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000189-2209-d8dd-a1ed-7a2de8d80000 (Trump was a hugely consequential president!) Visit John at: https://rubino.substack.com Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Fri, 7 July 2023
Alex Sonkin explained the Due Diligence Project, which is a peer review community of mostly CPA firms that helps mitigate the risk and time to complete due diligence on sophisticated tax structures. The Due Diligence Project serves CPA firms who are trying to differentiate themselves and serve clients with tax problems. They have created the largest independent peer review community of CPA firms in the country and conduct summits to bring the community together. Their clients are CPA firms who serve clients making half a million and up in net income. Kerry Lutz expressed some skepticism but agreed to give it a shot. Sonkin also discussed the Due Diligence Project Summit, which aims to help businesses and individuals mitigate taxes and costs through vetted tax planning resources and strategies. Alex's site: DueDiligence.com |
Thu, 6 July 2023
Jamar James shared his insights into cryptocurrency and the potential for digital currency to be a vehicle for wealth. Jamar shares his journey into the world of cryptocurrency and his concerns about the implications of a cashless society. He also discusses the potential benefits of digital currency in tax collection and how it can help build wealth. Finally, the fifth paragraph is an interview between Kerry and Jamar, where they discuss Jamar's experience in the military and the values he learned. Overall, the meeting covered a range of topics, including cryptocurrency, and military service. While some of the topics were unrelated, they all provided insights into the experiences and perspectives of the participants. The discussion of cryptocurrency was particularly informative, as Jamar shared his insights into the potential benefits and risks of digital currency. The interview with Jamar also provided a personal touch, as he shared his experiences in the military and the values he learned. Visit Jamar at: https://www.dcgelite.com/7daychallenge Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Wed, 5 July 2023
Kerry Lutz and Dave Shutler discussed the state of student loans and the importance of avoiding them. They recommended picking a major first and then a school to avoid taking on too much debt. They also emphasized the importance of knowing the potential earnings for a chosen career path before taking on student loans. The lack of resources available to young people to understand the intricacies of student debt and the hidden costs of taking out a reverse mortgage were also discussed. The non-dischargeability of student loan debt and the potential for a recession due to the large number of people with student debt were also mentioned. The value of a college education and the earning potential of skilled trades were also explored. While college graduates make more money on average, some skilled trades can earn more than some college graduates. Various cost-effective education options for students were discussed, including community college, AP courses, and online-only schools. The benefits of these options, such as lower tuition fees and the ability to earn college credits while still in high school, were highlighted. The importance of exploring all available options to save money and still receive a quality education was emphasized. Finally, financial hacks and the importance of having proper knowledge to make financial decisions were discussed, and a book called "Graduate Debt Free" was recommended for those looking to pay for college. To purchase David's book Graduate Debt Free: Escaping the Student Loan Matrix: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0BZ96V3TQ/?tag=greebookgrou-20 Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Mon, 3 July 2023
Kerry Lutz and Anthony Saccaro discussed various topics related to the economy, including consumer confidence, the housing market, inflation, and investment strategies. They examined the factors that contribute to consumer optimism, such as the strength of the labor market and the availability of jobs, and discussed the potential impact of global events on the economy. They also noted the unusual reaction of home sales and prices to rising interest rates and the fear of the Fed that another home sale explosion could cause them to raise rates more aggressively. Additionally, they discussed the impact of inflation on the job market and investment strategies, with Saccaro suggesting that investing in long-term income portfolios and real estate may be good strategies for weathering economic cycles. Finally, they discussed Anthony's podcast and marketing strategies, including the importance of analytics and tracking open rates and click-through rates for email blasts.
Find Anthony here - Anthony Saccaro Find us here - FSN |
Fri, 30 June 2023
The U.S. economy showed much stronger-than-expected growth in the first quarter than previously thought. GDP increased at a 2% annualized pace for the January-through-March period, up from the previous estimate of 1.3%. The upward revision helps undercut widespread expectations that the U.S. is heading toward a recession but I am not so sure that is realistic if the Fed’s continue pushing rates higher. We all know inflation has finally hit 4% according to the CPI but consumer spending, as gauged by personal consumption expenditures, rose 4.2%, the highest quarterly pace since the second quarter of 2021 and Core PCE prices rose 4.9% which will only fuel the Fed’s resolve to continue pushing rates higher to continue contracting the economy. Interestingly we see that exports rose 7.8% after falling 3.7% in the fourth quarter of 2022 so demand seems to be healthy. Though I think many investors are wanting to be bullish, now is not the time to embrace the market with both hands. Remember that as we begin entering earnings season many of these companies get to set their own bar, therefore it has been easier for them to look good when in reality there is underlying weakness in their earnings. Be patient, focus on dividends (collect them or spend them) but be ready to buy as there’s likely to be more K-Mart Blue Light Specials coming. Visit Matthew at https://JohnsonWim.com Visit FSN at https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com |
Thu, 29 June 2023
Jim Sheils and Kerry Lutz discussed the current state of the real estate and investment industry, focusing on the Florida market. They talked about the challenges of building affordable housing and the potential for growth in different areas of the state. Sheils provided an overview of her company's in-house financing program and the types of residential properties they focus on. The conversation also touched on the impact of mortgage rates on investment opportunities and the scalability and desirability of new construction properties. Overall, the meeting provided valuable insights and strategies for anyone interested in real estate investing. |
Wed, 28 June 2023
Markets have been headed sideways for a while now. During Avi's last session on the show, he was of the belief that no market crash was coming in the near future. He was expecting the bounce that we eventually encountered. Now he believes that the market is at a turning point, either up or a significant move down. The future is always uncertain, but Avi uses his technical skills to try to get an edge. A few more market moves and he'll have a better idea. Let's see how it works out. Visit Avi at: https://ElliottWaveTrader.net Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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Tue, 27 June 2023
In a meeting between Rick Rule and Kerry Lutz, they discussed the resource sector and the upcoming Rick Rule Symposium -- Natural Resource Investing. Rick noted that the market is bifurcating into two junior markets, with one market being populated mostly by the lame and the blind. He also predicted that the conventional energy sector will do well absent a real recession, and that the largest demand for coal was in 2022. They also discussed the global energy crisis and the need for more electricity, particularly in developing countries, and the importance of battery metals, such as lithium, in the transition to cleaner energy. The conversation also touched on the complexities of government investment and permitting in the United States, particularly in the areas of electrification and battery metals. They explored the government's promises to invest in these areas, but also the challenges of obtaining exploration and operating permits. Additionally, they discussed the current state of the gold equity markets and how a bear market is like a sale. They emphasized the importance of attending the upcoming conference, which offers a range of speakers, living legends, and exhibitors who have built multi-billion dollar companies, and can be attended virtually or in person with access to conference recordings for six months. Join us in Boca at the Symposium: https://opptravel.zohobackstage.com/TheRuleSymposiumonNaturalResourceInvesting2023#/?affl=FinancialSurvivorNetwork Visit Rick at: https://ruleinvestmentmedia.com Visit us at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
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