Thu, 3 September 2020
Debbie Bloyd reports: After new- and existing-home-sales soared in July, analysts expected the rebound in pending-home-sales to slow dramatically, and while it did, it beat expectations - rising 5.9% MoM (vs +2.0% expectations). This leaves pending home sales up a stunning 15.4% YoY...the biggest annual jump since Oct 2012 This is the highest level for the pending home sales index since Oct 2005... Source: Bloomberg
Pending home sales rose 25.2% in the Northeast and 6.8% in the West. Gains were smaller in other regions, with a 3.3% increase in the Midwest and 0.9% in the South.
The numbers: The index of pending home sales rose 5.9% in July as compared with June, the National Association of Realtors reported Thursday. It is the third consecutive month in which the level of Americans signing contracts to purchase homes has risen. Home sellers are going under contract in record time, the trade group reported. |
Thu, 3 September 2020
Extensive discuss with Craig Hemke a/k/a Turd Ferguson. It's all about negative real interest rates. The Fed can under no means allow interest rates to rise. This means that as inflation kicks up, real interest rates will turn decidedly negative, maybe by as much as 300 to 400 basis points. When was the last time we saw anything like that? In the late 1970's-1980's, when gold hit it's then all time of $850 per ounce. Craig thinks we could very well be heading there soon. So look out above, higher precious metals prices are just around the corner. And there's very little resistance above $2080, so this move could be epic. |
