Dec 13, 2021
Summary:
The markets have been tumultuous in all aspects, and I catch up
with Eric Hadik to dive further into this topic and evaluate the
trends. In consideration of stock market trends, these markets
haven’t necessarily followed what we would normally expect, and the
timing of the fallouts have come as a surprise. We have an
interesting year ahead that will probably defy the expectations, so
tune in to hear more about what could possibly be in store.
Highlights:
-Markets have been tumultuous—stock markets, interest rates, oil,
etc.
-The stock market has been in the news a lot recently; the most
important thing is to understand the bigger picture/1-2 year
outlook and where we are within that
-For many years, there has been a consistent 16 month cycle in the
stock market as well as 8 month cycles, etc.
-Throughout 2021, Hadisk thought we would see an initial peak in
the May/June timeframe and a more significant peak in
January/February of 2022
-A lot of individual stocks have already set peaks and are in a
drawn-out topping process
-In the peak of January and February, even the stronger stocks will
turn down
-The fallouts aren’t necessarily surprising, but the timing of the
fallouts are
-Hadisk tries to avoid analyzing one market with a correlation to
another market
-Gold and silver have pulled back and are in the process of making
secondary lows, and some correlation could potentially help
them
-Strength in the dollar is one of the factors that is weighing on
gold, especially in light of inflation
-What do we make of the highs/low with the metals and energy
markets? This has been a recovery and then some from the wash-outs
of early 2020
-We have an interesting year ahead of us that will probably go
against the contrary expectations
-There could be equilibrium, but if rates go higher and inflation
goes down there could be a reverberation
-If we don’t see expanding growth, traders will get disappointed by
numbers that are status-quo
-Steady growth is seen as a negative based on future
expectations
Useful Links:
Financial Survival Network
ITTC