Apr 14, 2021
The stock market’s capitalization is 200% of GDP. Margin debt has never been higher. Is the party over? If you listen to the Fed they claim that inflation is transitory. YOY inflation was 2.6%. Core inflation was under 2%. The Fed doesn’t even look at consumer price inflation. Everything is a substitute for everything else. The Fed’s mandate is stable prices, haha. Next month’s CPI will be over 3%. Exploding earnings and growth in GDP this quarter and next and then we roll over. Whatever happened to zero inflation targets. $7 trillion dollars of new money printed and keeping interest rates below 1%, what could possibly go wrong. Market and economic chaos is inevitable. The middle class is being hollowed out and thus the country with it. Bubbles getting ready pop all over. It only benefits the wealthy and those who work from their homes. Job losses aren’t being reversed. It’s been the worst of times for the middle class, thus engendering further chaos. It’s a volatile and incendiary.
Is the pandemic going to end this summer. Bad Vaxx news, J&J vaccine causing blod clots in 6 women. It’s temporarily suspended. Vax skeptics are jumping all over it. Why suspend the vaccine for 6 out of 17 million people getting ill. China vaccine not working well. If the virus is running rampant, can growth and inflation continue. It’s going to drop off in 2021 and 2022. You’ve gotta invest somewhere.
Michael is more concerned about the government’s reaction to the virus than the virus itself.