May 26, 2021
The real story on Transitory Inflation. No one is focusing on why they’re saying it. It’s all about yield curve control. The US cannot afford higher interest rates. The Fed is controlling yields and real interest rates. Interest on treasury debt cannot exceed 2 percent or we're all scr-wed. It’s a case of Fed jawboning to shape perception and reality. After this fails, they'll have go to policy pronouncements. And when that fails, then they will actually have to do something. The biggest question is, who will buy US government debt when it’s yielding less then inflation? Answer: the Fed. Repo madness strikes again. Reverse repos are hitting record levels, spiking. Banks are over-stuffed with reserves. Lots of interesting stuff going on, setting us up for an interesting month of June. 3 weeks to the next FOMC meeting.